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Main Discussion

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Keef_
Posted - 20 April 2017 18:50
Promises promises.
Weally Been
Posted - 20 April 2017 18:51
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Yeah I agree

All goes to the mighty Tories now
minkie
Posted - 20 April 2017 18:54
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Lots of sitting Lab MPs out too. Understandable, honourable even, ifhey dont like the leadership.
ReggiePerrin is voting Lib Dem
Posted - 20 April 2017 18:58
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Ukip is probably finished, but Ukip's voters are still there. If they go back to the Tories, they will still be capable of causing a lot of trouble, much like Trumpists in the Republican Party.
minkie
Posted - 20 April 2017 19:00
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Well I guess the nutjobs were always there. In 2015 the thousands more who voted UKIP will just consider it a funny five minutes ( like my otherwise kind and sane mother in law!)
Osama
Posted - 20 April 2017 19:05
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the belief Kippers have that they can become a full blown party - defence, health, education etc - is too lollersome for words
minkie
Posted - 20 April 2017 19:50
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Hmm. How high was the turnout in 2015?
ReggiePerrin is voting Lib Dem
Posted - 20 April 2017 19:52
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66%. In the referendum it was 72%. The theory is that the Leave campaign brought enough disengaged voters out of the woodwork to swing the result.
minkie
Posted - 20 April 2017 19:54
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Right so the ukippers in 2015 were swingers rather than new voters
They'll swing back
Sergio Bogface
Posted - 20 April 2017 19:57
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UKIP was a single issue party. The single issue is pretty much resolved, and so their raison d'etre is no more.

UKIP was a protest vote and took votes from all other parties, not just the Tories. I don't think that people who don't usually vote suddenly wake up one morning and become Kippers. People who don't usually vote don't usually protest.

If you are a real EU-hating Brexiter, you are going to vote Tory this time, because that is the most realistic chance of getting a Brexit (of any flavour) implemented.
Sergio Bogface
Posted - 20 April 2017 19:58
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Reggie, that can't be right. Project Fear brought a lot of Remain votes out of the woodwork too.
ReggiePerrin is voting Lib Dem
Posted - 20 April 2017 20:00
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I'm not saying I agree with the theory, I'm just reporting it. It's plausible, but we'd need to see evidence before accepting it.